By : Edmond F. La’lang (economic and
environment observer)
Holistic approach driven to get the
analyzed with some knowledge approach for how to synergism and synchronized to
drawing the painting of the next curve will be happened in stocks, forex,
commodities and real markets :
a. Bio-economic Driven (Economic and
Market Bio-ritmic and Bio-cycle)
This method is to use biological means
to know the performance of all systems including the economic field, where all
economic actors are also creatures in the biological behavior is strongly
influenced by biological and psychological nature. So will there was a dynamic
and biological cycles and psikolgis the interplay within a national economy and
global communities that make up a rhythm that can be monitored through the
strains of the movement graph. Likewise we can study the behavior of
subtropical birds moving north to south or vice versa in the change of seasons,
or the movement of tuna by the influence of wind and water currents from the
tropical to sub tropical or vice versa (Oyashiwa and Kuroshiwa) in the movement
of the season and Jet Stream in the region equator and economic conditions
based on the change of season 4 in the sub-tropics. Also Paul Ormerod wear
behavior of the butterfly (Butterfly Economy) and ant to know the trend of
economic conditions, and Newt Gingrich (U.S. senator) who use the system
behavior simpanze to know the different behavior of political opponents to
excel in politics.
b. Psychological Driven (Global Mass
Psychology, Expectation and Activities
Human is a biological creature that the
which have psychologic aspects not be able to measure and quantified by a
mathematic economy parameters, Because its have a 2-3 formulas mathematic
dimensions and meanwhile have only one dimension. Psychologic conditions like
expectations, aspiration, dream, excite, wants, emotions (upset, angry, sad,
etc), greed, confused, panic, afraid and the other various psychological aspects.
This bio-economic will of personal and mass combined various national and
global psychologic that will from seeing and reading by various ways of
communications, gestures and words of businessman, Government Officials for
comments of economic growth conditions, financial index, consumer price index
and the form of graphics Global stocks, forex, commodities, obligations, bonds
and many others. This combined of the above by instinct and intuitive ways.
We can go globally to know-how what
the will of some mass psychologic trustee or not toward the business
performance of sectoral and general economic growth. And we can know be better,
what will from some happens in the future, so that we able to avoid various
problems in market risk, business risk, macro economic risk cans make the which
turbulencies, crises and recessions That make a person, corporate and country
will from some loss, failure and bankruptcy. Or according to George Soros, I
will from walking in the front of the curve, That he will from a first take
some positions for 6 months before without having a panic, sweats and big bath
in the turbulencies, losses, crisis and recession is coming. The failure of
government to handle this mass psychologic will from some potential to make a
turbulencies and systemic effects like the tsunami or earth quake. So, why we
do not have a early warning system and preventive ways to have a good and
smooth conditions.
c. Mozaik Topographyc Driven (Earth
Mapping with Photograph and Water from Satellite Remote Sensing and
Geo Positioning System / GPS).
An a geographic and mapping expert that
use to streoskopic device with three dimension can see and know-contour rhytmic
of various height and place of a photograph on a map area or region. A
geography and mapping using the tool streoskopis with 3-dimensional image can
know the shape contour and rhythm of various heights from an aerial photograph
of an area with a certain height and type of land use, such as settlements,
rice fields, fields, ponds and forests. Who's sending a remote expert (remote
sensing) to interpret a variety of images from the satellite image degradation
and color mosaic to delineated which can read all the diversity of land use,
condition hidroorologis and various mineral mineral content of a region With
this expertise we can also see mosaic and strains the movement of various
market indices well to predict the dynamics and movement of the rate of
economic growth and business correctly and accurately so that we avoid the
various risks of harm. Similarly, physicist (physics of Fessant economically
and Tannous) can see the movement of business index stocks, forex, commodities,
macroeconomic data to model seismic systems, electric cathode diode model, etc.
To know the direction of the
trend of a graph of the rise and fall of a time series graph, so that when the
momentum of rise or fall within a certain time. Similarly, George Soros can
find various movements all business index method Reflections (condition
exciting, self-reinforcing and catastrophic). GPS can be used to determine the
existence of the position of a person or object on this earth. GPS systems also can be used basically to see how far
psychological load, volume and size of transactions on a real market and
finansil and direction of movement of the flow of funds / capital market of a
region (country) to country with computerized systems that connect with
satellites, such as satellites to monitor the movement of air flow / wind,
rain, weather forecast, the movement of birds, fish, spores, virus diseases and
even the human mind into all parts of the world to predict trends, action,
result, potential fluctuations (turbulence) and the crisis with the method of early
warning system are coordinated and systematic. So, we can know and read with
appropriate mass psychological condition, the direction of the global mass
movement and the desire to map its business plan.
d. Mechanical and Rockets System Driven
With mechanical science, we can know the
moving of lintasan an bullet or rocket, where also like movement of global
index in the market of stocks, forex, commodities, obligations, bonds, and the
others that can be analyzed by mechanical and rocket systems. There are some of
Japan expert in economy and market that have implemented rocket performance
system to predicting various index in global market. An bullet and rocket if to
fire with elevation sekitar 30 degree, so that will be fall more distance than
more 30 degree and if to 90 degree will be fall not far from its fire or
launched.
This is because the force of gravity will
pull it back down before it reaches beyond the Earth's atmosphere, in the sense
that if we want to ride fast with steep slopes, such as rock climbing mountain,
then if the less powerful will cause us to fall quickly (free fall), exhausted
and more severe consequences from a higher place than just fall from low
altitude. With the shape the movement of the graph, then we can draw an
imaginary line (as in space science and goniometry) to find out how long the
form of graphs an index must be corrected or rapid collapse (catastroph) or the
form of hang-cliff that if the mass of the moist soil , no binding tree, then
the mass of soil from steep slopes will be prone to landslides that can
be fatal to the existing building and the people beneath him and hangs over the
theory of economic growth means economic stagnation occur. For good
combination that likely support by Fundamental Macro Economy and Technical
Graphic Analysis.
